Prism, Awakener of Sol
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laura Sterkenburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.