FaB-Results

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Battle Hardened: Kansas City 2025

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tanner Lee
dropped • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Max McLean
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Valda, Seismic Impact
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 90:10
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
Matthew Bowar
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 88:12
Arakni, Marionette
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 69:31
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
Rex Carroll
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Milner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Thomas Bray
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Jonah Overholt
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
David Dandikar
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hannah Watts (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
Ethan Gill
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
!!
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.