Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Kansas

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Damien Riggins

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phillip Spader (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.31
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Mike Murray

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Christopher Iaali

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.11
R3	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.