Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34
Dash I/O
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Dash I/O
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Puffin, Hightail
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Berg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abdul Mousa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devin Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Puffin, Hightail
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Wynn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hannah Watts (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
dropped 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.