FaB-Results
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wyatt Goehring
5th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Ryan Wallace
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Rhodes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Kano, Dracai of Aether
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Matt Noelker
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Dash I/O
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Jacob Davis
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Dash I/O
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Tyler McMurray
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.