Ira, Scarlet Revenger
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Santianna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Milner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Santianna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tamren Cardwell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Sean Elliott (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.