Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Berg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.