Valda, Seismic Impact

Valda, Seismic Impact

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 64:36
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Gill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.