FaB-Results
Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ethan Raymond
31st • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Deck
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kegan Allen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Michael MacLeod
37th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Deck
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaiah Malana (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Julien Bergeron
45th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Deck
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kegan Allen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Jay Maillet
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs May Atlas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Abhay D Srivastava
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Deck
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.