Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025 - Canada
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lloyd McBride (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69
Round 11: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.