National Championship 2025 - Taiwan - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yu Huan Lin

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HSUEH Eric (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs CHEN HAN WEI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.08
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

HSUEH Eric

27th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Night S (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs CHEN HAN WEI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.33
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.62
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.51

Wen Jin Hsu

24th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 嘉誠徐 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.12
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.03

YuDi Chen

14th • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 健峰簡 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.27
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

kou rui yang

dropped • 3-0-0

33%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs yi chuan lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27

Chan Cian

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yu MinChe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Jing Hao Fang

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

Wang Chung Chi

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.61

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.