Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sun Yu Lin

33rd • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 培廷吳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Chen Yi-Lin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Wen Jin Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.76	3.76
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Chu Fung Huei

37th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

6.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 王上熏 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 昀劉 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Albert Ho (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.76	4.10

王上熏

29th • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Fung Huei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Chen Ming (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 陳子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sheng Pu Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.76	3.42
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Andy Ko

38th • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs yu hong wang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.15
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.