Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - Taiwan
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
2 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Performance Metrics
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.