Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

32nd 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 健峰 簡 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chuang Yike (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joey Jiik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adonis Liang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.