Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

OWN HSIANG YU

2nd • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chen Yi-Lin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chuang Yike (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.65
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.48
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.99
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.73
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Joey Jiik

10th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 藍白 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Monkey Li (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs CYK Lionel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.26
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.83
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.26
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.37

KeDuo Yang

22nd • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Draw vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.34

Cheng-Chung Tang

42nd • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Draw vs Albert Ho (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.09
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-

wu chongjaun

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Redc Chen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sheng Pu Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Night S (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.