Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yash Chiu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
5th 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Katsu, the Wanderer
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.