Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2025 - Taiwan
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 培廷 吳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joey Jiik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs yu hong wang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.