National Championship 2025 - Taiwan - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

CHIU CHUNG-YI

dropped • 0-5-0

60%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yash Chiu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

HaoChun Yang

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs yu hong wang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chin Shiki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.24

Monkey Li

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joey Jiik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.