National Championship 2025 - Taiwan - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

CHUN-CHIEH CHENG

13th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kou rui yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Yash Chiu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.27
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.84
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.80

Alexander Jan

15th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.50
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

昀劉

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chu Fung Huei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.53

嘉誠徐

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wen Jin Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.