Dash I/O at National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

CHUN-CHIEH CHENG

13th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kou rui yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Yash Chiu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.27
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.76
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83

Alexander Jan

15th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 83:17

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.09
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.52
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

昀劉

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chu Fung Huei (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

嘉誠徐

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wen Jin Hsu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.