Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Dorinthea Ironsong
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 9-2-0
64%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
Round 5: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
20th • 6-1-1
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Unknown)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs simon diaz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
23rd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
24th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valeria Nitoglia (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs simon diaz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
32nd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
38th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Unknown)
Round 5: Win vs Victor Reis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
43rd • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Felix Gössel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Javier Querol (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Quek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)
Round 8: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
44th • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anya North (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Roman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Piotr Chudobinski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Gössel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Unknown)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vitalij Zeiser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.