Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
14th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Unknown)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
25th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Catling (Unknown)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
26th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Gössel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
37th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs simon diaz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.