Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Warsaw

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wojtek Klimczyk

5th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.73
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.20
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Finn Labe

14th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Unknown)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.56
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kaloyan Nikov

25th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Catling (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.56
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Grzegorz Pijas

26th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Felix Gössel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Unknown)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.60
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Adrian Quek

37th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs simon diaz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.20
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.56
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.86
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.