Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Unknown)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Altieri (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83
Round 8: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
10th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabe Sher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
13th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
17th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Unknown)
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adrian Quek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
35th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Unknown)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quentin Leroy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adrian Quek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marcus Karlsson (Unknown)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
75%
Meta
-3.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Bence Vereszki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Evans (Unknown)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bence Vereszki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jurica Fejer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Karlsson (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jari Vincke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.