Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Kano, Dracai of Aether
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-1-0
82%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
5th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andres Dorogan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 9: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bino Nolting (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Huepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Achin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Haik Voskerchian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.