Uzuri, Switchblade at Battle Hardened: Warsaw

Uzuri, Switchblade

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jake Armes

27th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Opalski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paweł Roman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs George Chew (Unknown)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.40
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Artur Wysocki

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Bino Nolting

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tudor Todea (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.39
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.90
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Dimitris Melissinos

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Unknown)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.