Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Unknown)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
29th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Reis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
46th • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jurica Fejer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs Vitalij Zeiser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs simon diaz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Leroy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.