Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

42nd 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Unknown)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Katsu, the Wanderer
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.