Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Warsaw
Kassai of the Golden Sand
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
39th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Kopeć (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Unknown)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michal Cwik (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stef Ganchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.