Battle Hardened: Warsaw - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Haik Voskerchian

28th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.51
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki

39th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anya North (Unknown)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michał Kopeć (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.72
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.57
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

David Chirulescu

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.76
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.05
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Konrad Weiss

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Paweł Roman

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michal Cwik (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Federico Sirri

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stef Ganchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.