Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Warsaw

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ashkan Kamyab

36th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Unknown)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.74
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Kevin Zänker

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.06
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Eugene C

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Win	✗	0.88	1.00
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.