Battle Hardened: Warsaw - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ashkan Kamyab

36th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Unknown)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clara Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert Wernecke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.83
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Kevin Zänker

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Eugene C

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Unknown)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.