Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tudor Todea (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
dropped 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Athena Halkia (Unknown)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.