Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Quirico Gamallo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Axxel Justin Prado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs joel amad (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Carl Rivera (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
11th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kimm Gonzales (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 11: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
49th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donovon Jose Panganiban (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
32nd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Khyle Kent Alviz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carl Rivera (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hans Alviar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
37th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Paul Baltazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Angelo Regalado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Quirico Gamallo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Rainier Noel Andes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rainier Noel Andes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark David Octavio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Octavio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Francis Espiritu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jayvee Fajardo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.