FaB-Results

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - Philippines

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kimm Gonzales
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Laraya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hans Alviar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Marlon Ilagan
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Dash I/O
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jayvee Fajardo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.