Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Angelito Jr Eusebio

13th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mort Castillo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Albert Miko Mariano (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jayvee Fajardo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.98

Joel Guzman

14th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.90
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.57

Michael Joseph Villano

39th • 2-3-1

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Octavio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs John Ezekiel Recalde (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.17
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.50
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Kristoffer Hans Lim

31st • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Laraya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Troy Fiel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Samuel Angelo Regalado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.44
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.57

Victor Felix

34th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.31
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Mikko Pena

53rd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.72

Christian Francisco

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Gabriel Venegas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaime Leon Warren (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.97
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

John Paul Baltazar

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carl Rivera (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Baligaya (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

arthur Sarenas

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hans Alviar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Yap (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Einan Dominic Ramos

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Litam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.