Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Philippines
Prism, Awakener of Sol
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jayvee Fajardo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Litam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
36th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark David Octavio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Troy Fiel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
41st • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Vincent Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Arvin Jesus De Leon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
54th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paolo Angel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Round 10: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Raymond Baligaya (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kimm Gonzales (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gino Roberto Cobarrubias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Alvin Mendoza (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.