Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-0
14%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
7.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trix Ferreras (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Marcelle Fabie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Laraya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Francis Espiritu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Edric Ramos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hans Alviar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Juan Gabriel Venegas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 12: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Litam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
16th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
6.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Gabriel Venegas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Round 12: Win vs Jayvee Fajardo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cristopher Allen Franco (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs arthur Sarenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs joel amad (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Mort Castillo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Renz Mascardo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.