Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Quirico Gamallo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Victor Felix (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ralph Gomeri (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hans Alviar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.