National Championship 2025 - Philippines - Puffin, Hightail (CC) - FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Carlo Luis Santos

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Felix (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Francis Espiritu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Dorinthea Ironsong

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Trix Ferreras (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.