FaB-Results

Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Philippines

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Khyle Kent Alviz
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Angelo Regalado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 61:39
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Lean Gabriel Alfafara
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Ezekiel Recalde (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.