Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - Philippines
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
56th • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Khyle Kent Alviz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.