Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
41 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yongji Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Henson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hyunjun Jeon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
19th • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Gosse (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Canright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darren Knopes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Duane Flier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
Round 11: Win vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
28th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Hollermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Ramsay (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Henson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
44th • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Olson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ehalt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Win vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
52nd • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Seagren (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rogue Theory (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
53rd • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Reitenbach (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Dong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
60th • 8-5-0
23%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jason Feng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
64th • 7-6-0
54%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Gray (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Maul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Round 8: Win vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
65th • 7-6-0
31%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Barta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Yanke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Grant Juaire (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Ford (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lloyd McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Jared Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Stevenson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Long Lam (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Long Dao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Byrne (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Jernigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Karl (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs benjamin slenczka (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Josh Gardner (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Theo Koefod (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riley Thomas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Busby (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Ford (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Omar Reyhan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Butzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bradley Pasbjerg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabriel Torres (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keven Meyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Lloyd McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremey Campshure (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brecken Gruenzner (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Harrison Russell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs benjamin slenczka (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David M. Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dubson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremey Campshure (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jay Maillet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Stone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs gabriel stallings (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Brown (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rodel Rodea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Day (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Addison Mayberry (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Annie Adler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Donaldson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Josh Lueschen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Cardin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Ratliffe-Francoeur (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Carr (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ashelin Gadal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Unknown)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Stomper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Yanke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brett Merold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Jernigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Donaldson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremey Campshure (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Siems (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brycen Vasquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Hernandez (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Lougheed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Julkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Seth Penner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs chris schmidt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Busby (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trevor Baker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Hunt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Seagren (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Drolshagen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel stallings (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keith Swingle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Gray (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omar Reyhan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs benjamin slenczka (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Cardin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Beck (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Moe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brett Merold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.