FaB-Results
Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Baughn
40th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 45:55
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Uzuri, Switchblade
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Feng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Theodore Raitzer
61st • 8-4-1
38%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs christian gilbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Viserai, Rune Blood
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Valdez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Gray (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Dejno (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stephen Cookus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ashelin Gadal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Viserai, Rune Blood
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Chris Weidinger
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Beni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob hampson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elias Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Jason Chan
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs christian gilbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Beck (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Landon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Karl (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
John Record
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Katsu, the Wanderer
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenan Ratliff (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Franklin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Day (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Dash I/O
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hunt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Isaac Hollermann
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bailey Hilten (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Simmons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Riley Thomas
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 35:65
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Stomper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brecken Gruenzner (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Andrew Lundeen
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 45:55
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Chris Balke
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Van Kampen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Nuu, Alluring Desire
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darin Voight (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 49:51

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.