Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Minneapolis
Kano, Dracai of Aether
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 12-3-0
80%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
7.3
Surp
7.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aiden Schoeffler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Butzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
Round 12: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (12/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
5th • 11-3-0
86%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan Goens (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jason Feng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
5th • 11-3-0
86%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Robles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Livingstone-Sitch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Herren (Unknown)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Aviles (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Maul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
25th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs adam bidler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Rath (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Phillip Spader (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
26th • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Swingle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Pollitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Morreale (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
43rd • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Long (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Feist (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Landon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Win vs Annie Adler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yazan Masad (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Austin Henson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Stew Fraser (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
48th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs marcellus hunter (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raj Parikh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Torres (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jason Feng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
69th • 7-6-0
77%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Humbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Duane Flier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Isaac Moe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeff Kloosterman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (7.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Westbrook (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob hampson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Magri (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Lawrenson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Malave (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theo Koefod (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Yoder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Maul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Shymko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Markham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Day (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlotte Roux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carl Norman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kent Summerour (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adain Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Moe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cody McCarron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Reuben Arteaga (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Mullis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dante Irvine (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Carr (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Wells (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adain Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Hollermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Truell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs marcellus hunter (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Ford (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jay Maillet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Karl (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Hernandez (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Baillargeon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Franklin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Douglas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Calvin Cheney (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Pumphrey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Guillien (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jared Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Bryant (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Wells (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Hartman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Mueller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Donaldson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Mull (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.