Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Minneapolis
Kassai of the Golden Sand
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keven Meyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 10% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Stevens (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Kasper (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Butzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Ferris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lueschen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.