Kassai of the Golden Sand
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Keven Meyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Stevens (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Kasper (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Butzke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs George Ferris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 30:70
Round 6: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lueschen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.