Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Minneapolis
Prism, Awakener of Sol
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 12-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.6
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard McMahon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Blankenship (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Long Lam (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R15 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
9th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.8
Surp
7.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Morreale (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Torres (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Calvin Cheney (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Cardin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Round 10: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
14th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Corey Baker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Virgil Toms (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
24th • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Guerrero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 3: Loss vs adam bidler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carl Norman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ronan Sovitzky (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
27th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs isaac Stanley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dustin Chambers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Alyssa Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Levi Rauch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
57th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Roorda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Maul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Abigail Welday (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 6-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Porter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hernandez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Jeff Kloosterman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs christian gilbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Solymos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brendan Thomas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Ronan Sovitzky (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Bisplinghoff (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Sexton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Owen Rasch (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Beck (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brennan Grout (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Balke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Barding (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dallas Siebers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Humbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tad Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darin Voight (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Lawton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlotte Roux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs benjamin slenczka (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Saldana (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Brown (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Maul (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dean Carr (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Torres (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brendan Thomas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Cox (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Juaire (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Wright (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Michael Porter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Jackson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs isaac Stanley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Ray (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seth Penner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carl Norman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Unknown)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tad Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Meehan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Orr (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan Goens (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Brennen DeBoer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Johns (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elijah Flanders (Unknown)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Pasbjerg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Hobson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Aviles (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.