Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Minneapolis
Fai, Rising Rebellion
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ronan Sovitzky (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Hiller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Haunert (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Karl (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Albright (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Khalif Hashim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Feist (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reuben Arteaga (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marie Frank (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
0:100
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 0:100
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Harrison Russell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 0% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Falone (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hiller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Livingstone (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Khalif Hashim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Torres (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Cossairt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dario Benitez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marie Frank (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Swinford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Balke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harrison Russell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Cardin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.