Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Webb (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Dirksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sidney Hunt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Franklin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Olson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Roorda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Uzuri, Switchblade
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71
dropped 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Presley (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sarah Bisplinghoff (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adain Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
dropped 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Seitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darin Voight (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Bisplinghoff (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rory Palmer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Hartman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cole Love (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 29:71
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Jamrozik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.