Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Minneapolis
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Stone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Livingstone-Sitch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs George Dilling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Bathgate (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Round 5: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin Cierpisz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bray (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Jessell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drew Guillien (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gary Gold (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Round 8: Win vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Albright (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Mink (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs jordan johnson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dylan Ehalt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Guillien (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Evan Roberson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aiden Schoeffler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yongji Yang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 8: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cory Walker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nathaniel Meserve (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Stevenson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Kirkendall (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Aviles (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Gilland (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Salvatore Calderone (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ROBERT DUNN (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Simmons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Towne (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Erik Dethlefs (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Dubson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Herzog (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duane Flier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cynthia Boutot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan Goens (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Maynard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Kinison (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Balke (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Feist (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Hobbs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Mull (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Pollitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Johns (Unknown)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Torres (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs Drew Stevens (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Seitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Drolshagen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard McMahon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Godinez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexis Cotto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Beck (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Bathgate (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlotte Roux (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Stone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jay Maillet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Gray (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs George Ferris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hunt (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jamen Vedova (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Stomper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Hamilton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Chang (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Feng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.