Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Calling: Minneapolis
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Baker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Ehalt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Baughn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Keven Meyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Carter Barton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Malave (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Shaun Benoit (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Caraher (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brendan Thomas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Shymko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Lovshin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuanji Li (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Mink (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bradley Pasbjerg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brennen DeBoer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Khalif Hashim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Hamilton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Seth Penner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grant Juaire (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72
Round 3: Loss vs Demetris Guzman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Mullis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Simmons (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Addison Mayberry (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marvin Dominguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.