Viserai, Rune Blood at Calling: Minneapolis

Viserai, Rune Blood

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Menion Croll

68th • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

6.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Chamberlain (Unknown)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Henson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robert Sexton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aiden Schoeffler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jeff Kloosterman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (7.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.21
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.25
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.83
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Myles Rightmire

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Stone (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Beck (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Will Montz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.11
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.26
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cody McCarron

dropped • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dean Carr (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Drew Gary (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Devon Kooker (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dakotah Kintigh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Harrison Russell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alek Idol (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Fiorendino

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ashelin Gadal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dustin Cierpisz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.28
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.61
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jonathan Presley

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tucker Gray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51

Rodrigo Lopez

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Haunert (Unknown)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Moe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.