Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Spain
Prism, Awakener of Sol
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 11: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 12: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
33rd • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rodrigo Peinado (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alberto Ferrero González (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
35th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Ferrero González (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Round 11: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Víctor Tejera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
40th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Iván Gómez Segovia (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
27th • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Peinado (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Round 11: Loss vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Endika García Campo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.