Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2025 - Spain
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
13th • 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Diana Toboso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Jose Rivas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
22nd • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Moises Garcia (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Enrique Raya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josep Giné (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
12th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
16th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 11: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
38th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josep Giné (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enrique Raya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Ruiz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Javier Endika García Campo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Moises Garcia (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.