National Championship 2025 - Spain - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda

3rd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

5.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.18
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.92
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.61
R12	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.91
R14	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alberto Hilario

13th • 5-1-0

50%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

5.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Diana Toboso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose Rivas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.79
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.90
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.97

Alejandro Garcia Lliso

22nd • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.4

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Moises Garcia (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Enrique Raya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Josep Giné (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.78
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.65

Pablo Álvarez Castillo

12th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alberto Hilario (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.94

Nicolas Scandalis

16th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.09
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

David Amorín García

38th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Josep Giné (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Josep Giné

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.37
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mario Donoso

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Enrique Raya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Ruiz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Javier Endika García Campo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Rafa Guallar

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.78
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Moises Garcia (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.